Five surfaces.
One auditable core.
The Reality Oracle is one hash-chained manifest with five apps built on top of it — for citizens, verified actors, intel subscribers, trading desks, and funds. Two doors in, one record underneath. Certified provenance, not certified truth.
Reality Oracle
Booting the swarm…
Synthetic demo · certified provenance, not certified truth · ROADMAP
One question, two ways in.
Everyone arrives with the same itch — “what’s actually happening here?” An actor walks in to affirm reality on a record they control; a citizen walks in to find out what’s real. Both meet at the same shared manifest.
Invalidate fake news about yourself. Show the market clarity.
Politicians, institutions, and companies affirm reality on an auditable, actor-controlled record — PUBLIC or CONFIDENTIAL — and debunk false claims at the source. Not another unverifiable denial in the same feed: a hash-chained, replayable manifest a third party can independently check.
Affirm on the record →
Find out what's actually happening — any actor, entity, or currency.
People get a geo-defaulted reality feed driven by real market trends, with one-tap doubt on any claim. Doubts route to the actors with standing and resolve on the record — provenance you can inspect, not a platform verdict.
Open the reality feed →Five apps. One shared manifest.
The same Rust core — the 4-layer GNL world model, the 5-Sister forecasting swarm, and the per-output hash-chained audit manifest — powers every surface. Each app is a different door onto the same auditable record. All five are designed, not shipped — frozen behind the gates.
Citizens · Reality Feed
The public in a city or country — the free top-of-funnel.
- Geo-defaulted reality feed
- One-tap doubt on any claim
- Resolution + notification inbox (Tide SSE)
- Public manifest viewer
- News driven by real market trends
Verified Actors · Affirmation Console
Politicians, influencers, institutions, companies.
- Doubt queue routed to you
- AxisOverride affirmation editor
- PUBLIC / CONFIDENTIAL (default) toggle
- 4-step debunk wizard
- Owned-trail dashboard
Intel Subscribers · Audited World Feed
Researchers, CEOs, policymakers.
- Forwardable insight cards
- Watchlists over the 4-layer GNL
- Drift-alert config + inbox
- Path Queries across the lattice
- Every claim carries its receipts
Market Prediction · Forecast Terminal
Banks, hedge funds, asset managers, desks.
- 5-Sister / 23-agent swarm dashboard
- Calibrated probability cones
- Brier / log-loss calibration
- Per-output manifest + replay
- Sold with the consumer surface OFF
Investment Funds · Advisory Suite
VC / PE funds and their founders.
- Pre-mortem swarms before you wire
- Post-mortem scored against reality
- LP-defense bit-for-bit replay
- Hidden-opportunity discovery
- Founder advisory feed
Citizens · Reality Feed.
The mobile surface and the free top-of-funnel. A geo-defaulted feed of GNL claims, sorted by open doubts — each one a single tap away from a registered doubt. When a verified actor affirms reality, Tide SSE delivers the resolution to your inbox and the public manifest is yours to inspect.
- Geo-defaulted feed of what’s actually happening
- One-tap doubt — the lowest-effort action in the product
- Resolution + notification inbox
- Public manifest viewer — provenance you can replay
What’s actually happening
Q3 layoffs figure circulating online is misattributed
Statement on the new policy — affirmed on the record
FX peg rumor — no verified actor has affirmed it
— doubt queue
— AxisOverride · affirm reality
Verified Actors · Affirmation Console.
Where fake news gets debunked at the source. Doubts naming you land in a queue; you affirm reality by editing the GNL via AxisOverride — a new immutable NodeVersion — and choose PUBLIC or CONFIDENTIAL (the default for contested affirmations, a deliberate liability firewall). The edit seals into the hash-chained manifest and every doubt-holder is notified.
- Doubt queue routed to the named actor
- AxisOverride editor with the visibility toggle
- 4-step debunk wizard: receive → affirm → visibility → seal
- Owned-trail dashboard — equity you accrue, not a platform verdict
Market Prediction · Forecast Terminal.
The B2B wedge engine — and the only surface sold with the consumer side OFF. A 23-agent A2A swarm across 5 Sisters imagines plausible futures; the Oracle merges them into one normalized ensemble (Σp ≈ 1, sorted descending, entropy in nats). Every forecast ships a per-output manifest, and Brier / log-loss calibration is measured against what actually happened — accuracy is a disclosed number, never a promise.
- Calibrated probability cones of plausible futures
- 5-Sister / 23-agent swarm dashboard
- Brier / log-loss calibration vs the disclosed baseline
- Per-output hash-chained manifest + bit-for-bit replay
Certified provenance, not certified truth.
Every screen on this page is a sample. The five surfaces are designed, not shipped — frozen behind Gate 1 (replay-green 30 days) and Gate 1b (beat the disclosed baseline). The manifest proves who affirmed what, when, and that it replays bit-for-bit — never that the statement is objectively true.
Certified provenance ≠ certified truth.
Every output replayable. Not every output correct.
No app ships until both gates clear · Gate 1 replay-green 30 days · Gate 1b beats the disclosed Brier baseline.
One core. Five doors.
Pre-seed · pre-revenue · POC stage. The five surfaces are frozen behind the gates — explore the Reality Oracle, or pre-register and we will reach out when your surface opens.