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Side 5 · Investment FundsROADMAP

Defensible fund analytics.
Replayable. Auditor-ready.

Portfolio managers and CIOs get provenance-grade analytics. Backtest any fund-relevant forecast. Hand the manifest to the auditor. See also: Backtest Forensics →

1:1Exact replay
BrierCalibrated
SR 11-7EU AI Act · NIST
1Manifest, not Excel
§ Live demoExplore the app

Pre-mortem before, post-mortem after — right here.

Run a pre-mortem swarm on a deal for ranked failure modes; score a closed investment against the realized timeline (Brier / log-loss); click through a bit-for-bit LP-defense replay to “verified ✓ · manifest sealed”; and expand hidden-opportunity cards from a synthetic GNL lattice traversal. CONFIDENTIAL by default. Fully interactive, fully synthetic — no account needed.

9:41

Advisory Suite

Loading the swarm…

Synthetic demo · certified provenance, not certified truth · not investment advice · ROADMAP

§ 01The job they hire it for

Fund analytics that survive the auditor.

The auditor asks: what model produced this number and why? Today the answer takes weeks. With the Reality Oracle it takes one manifest replay.

ROADMAP

Backtest any forecast

Reproduce any past fund-relevant simulation exactly. Same inputs, same output, same bytes. Hand the manifest to the auditor.

ROADMAP

Calibrated ensemble

Oracle probability cones with Brier/log-loss calibration loop. Provisional until Gate 1b. See also: Path Queries.

ROADMAP

Compliance-ready by default

Every output seals a hash-chained manifest. SR 11-7, EU AI Act, NIST AI RMF. The regulator audits the manifest, not your Excel.

§ 02Pre-mortem / post-mortem cone

Run the call before and after.

A pre-mortem swarm runs prospective-hindsight before the investment; a post-mortem swarm scores the same cone against the realized timeline via the Brier/log-loss calibration loop. The marker shows where ground truth landed against the modal strand.

◆ realizedBrierlog-lossforecast horizon · cone width ∝ entropyNOWExitBullp≈0.34Basep≈0.52Bearp≈0.14Σp ≈ 1.0sorted ↓ descH = 1.02 nats
§ 03The LP-defense record

Every decision, replayable for LPs.

Each analysis seals a per-output hash-chained manifest (BR-842). Hand it to an LP or an auditor and reconstruct the call bit-for-bit — same inputs, same agent versions, same output.

Certified provenance ≠ certified truth.

Every output replayable. Not every output correct.

Certified provenance ≠ certified truth

Fund analytics with provenance.

Investment Funds side is frozen behind Gate 1b. Pre-register for early access when it opens.